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Taxes

  • A History of Taxation and Expenditure in the Western World
  • A Note on Estimating Cross-Border Effects of State Cigarette Taxes
  • Australia’s $40 per pack cigarette tax plans: the need to consider equity
  • Changes in cigarette expenditure minimising strategies before and after a cigarette tax increase
  • Cigarette Tax Avoidance and Evasion: Findings from the International Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation Project
  • Cigarette Taxes and Cigarette Smuggling by State, 2014
  • Common State Mechanisms Regulating Tribal Tobacco Taxation and Sales, the USA, 2015
  • Crossing the Line: Direct Estimation of Cross-Border Cigarette Sales and the Effect on Tax Revenue
  • Death and taxes: The framing of the causes and policy responses to the illicit tobacco trade in Canadian newspapers
  • Effectiveness of Tax and Price Policies in Tobacco Control
  • Effects of Tobacco Taxation and Pricing on Smoking Behavior in High Risk Populations: A Knowledge Synthesis
  • Estimating Tax Incidence, Market Power and Market Conduct: The European Cigarette Industry
  • Excise Tax Avoidance: The Case of State Cigarette Taxes
  • From Cigarette Smuggling to Illicit Tobacco Trade
  • NYC's Tax War on Cigarettes Undercut by Low Fines for Black-Market Sales
  • Price and Tax Measures and Illicit Trade in the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control: What We Know and What Research Is Required
  • Smokes, Smugglers and Lost Tax Revenues: How Governments Should Respond
  • Spring Breaks and Cigarette Tax Noncompliance: Evidence From a New York City College Sample
  • State Excise and Sales Taxes per Pack of Cigarettes Total Amounts & State Rankings
  • State Excise Tax Rates for Non-Cigarette Tobacco Products
  • STATE System Tax Stamp Fact Sheet (download)
  • Taxation, Smuggling and Demand for Cigarettes in Canada: Evidence from Time-Series Data
  • The Economic Geography of Tobacco
  • The Effect of Cigarette Taxation on Prices
  • Tobacco Taxes as a Control Strategy
  • Top Combined State-Local Cigarette Tax Rates
  • Undermining government tax policies: Common legal strategies employed by the tobacco industry in response to tobacco tax increases
  • Use of Tobacco Tax Stamps to Prevent and Reduce Illicit Tobacco Trade - United States, 2014

Market Trends & Estimates

  • Adventures in the Illicit Tobacco Trade
  • An Empirical Analysis of Cigarette Addiction
  • Cigarette Demand: A Meta-Analysis of Elasticities
  • Cigarette Smuggling: Price vs. Nonprice Incentives
  • Does Cigarette Smuggling Prop Up Smoking Rates?
  • Estimating Dynamic Demand for Cigarettes Using Panel Data: The Effects of Bootlegging, Taxation and Advertising Reconsidered
  • In Their Own Words: Young Adults’ Menthol Cigarette Initiation, Perceptions, Experiences and Regulation Perspectives
  • Optimal Drug Policy in Low-Income Neighborhoods
  • The Demand For Cigarette Smuggling
  • Trends in Annual Sales and Current Use of Cigarettes, Cigars, Roll-Your-Own Tobacco, Pipes, and Smokeless Tobacco among US Adults, 2002–2012
  • Trends in Sales of Flavored and Menthol Tobacco Products in the United States During 2011–2015
  • Trends in the Use of Cigarettes and Other Tobacco Products
  • U.S. Demand for Tobacco Products in a System Framework
  • What Price Data Tell Us About Drug Markets

Measurement Methods

  • A New Method for Estimating the Illicit Cigarette Market at the Subnational Level and Its Application to Italy
  • A Novel Approach to Estimating the Prevalence of Untaxed Cigarettes in the USA: Findings from the 2009 and 2010 International Tobacco Control Surveys
  • City-Wide Drug Testing Using Municipal Wastewater
  • Contraband Tobacco on Post-Secondary Campuses in Ontario, Canada: Analysis of Discarded Cigarette Butts
  • How Far to the Border?: The Extent and Impact of Cross-Border Casual Cigarette Smuggling
  • Identification and Measurement of Illicit Drugs and Their Metabolites in Urban Wastewater by Liquid Chromatography-Tandem Mass Spectrometry
  • Identifying Counterfeit Cigarette Packs Using Ultraviolet Irradiation and Light Microscopy
  • Illicit Drug Consumption Estimated by Wastewater Analysis in Different Districts of Milan: A Case Study
  • On the Underinvoicing of Imports
  • Project Sun. A Study of the Illicit Cigarette Market in the European Union, Norway and Switzerland 2014 Results
  • Quantitative and Qualitative Estimates of Cross-Border Tobacco Shopping and Tobacco Smuggling in France
  • Who Gives a Hoot? Intercept Surveys of Litterers and Disposers

Regulation

  • Can Supply Restrictions Lower Price? Violence, Drug Dealing and Positional Advantage
  • Cigarette smuggling undermines tax revenue
  • Close, but no cigar: certain cigars are pseudo-cigarettes designed to evade regulation
  • Countervailing Effects: What the FDA Would Have to Know to Evaluate Tobacco Regulations
  • Do cigarette producers price-discriminate by state? An empirical analysis of local cigarette pricing and taxation
  • Estimating Consequences of a Ban on the Legal Sale of Menthol Cigarettes (Download)
  • Graduated sovereignty and global governance gaps: Special economic zones and the illicit trade in tobacco products
  • Issues in the smuggling of tobacco products
  • Licit and Illicit Responses to Regulation
  • New measures toughen stance on tobacco smuggling
  • Progress in combating cigarette smuggling: controlling the supply chai
  • Report on EU customs enforcement of intellectual property rights
  • Stakeholder Letter: Regulation of E-Cigarettes and Other Tobacco Products
  • Standardized packaging and illicit tobacco use: A systematic review
  • Study on the Measuring and Reducing of Administrative Costs for Economic Operators and Tax Authorities and Obtaining in Parallel a Higher Level of Compliance and Security in Imposing Excise Duties on Tobacco Products
  • The Regulatory Challenge of Electronic Cigarettes
  • Turning off the tap: the real solution to cigarette smuggling
  • U.S. State and Local Laws Regulating Use of Electronic Cigarettes
  • Worldwide organized cigarette smuggling: an empirical analysis

ITTP Abroad

  • A Hazy Crisis: Illicit Cigarette Smuggling in the OSCE Region
  • A Mountain or a Molehill: Is the Illicit Trade in Cigarettes Undermining Tobacco Control Policy in South Africa?
  • ACCC halts “quasi-regulatory” illicit tobacco proposal
  • Availability and use of cheap tobacco in the UK 2002 - 2014: Findings from the International Tobacco Control Project
  • Cigarette Bans to Hit Europe
  • Cigarette Smuggling in Europe: Who Really Benefits?
  • Contrasting Academic and Tobacco Industry Estimates of Illicit Cigarette Trade: Evidence from Warsaw, Poland
  • Customs officers net whopping tobacco haul
  • Drug Production and Trafficking, Counterdrug Policies, and Security and Governance in Afghanistan
  • Estimating Price Elasticities When There is Smuggling: The Sensitivity of Smoking to Price in Canada 
  • European Outlook on the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products
  • Hong Kong customs seize contraband cigarettes worth HK$8 million
  • How Big Is the Worldwide Cigarette-Smuggling Problem?
  • Illicit Cigarettes and Hand-Rolled Tobacco in 18 European Countries: A Cross-Sectional Survey
  • Illicit Trade Report 2012
  • Illicit Trade Report 2014
  • Lithuania. The Factbook on the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products 6
  • OLAF helps Member States seize 140 million cigarettes, detain 32 smugglers
  • Perspectives on illicit trade in tobacco
  • Political Commodities and Sovereignty Management: Cigarette Smuggling across Brazil’s Southern Borders
  • Progress report on the implementation of the Commission Communication "Stepping up the fight against cigarette smuggling and other forms of illicit trade in tobacco products - a comprehensive EU strategy
  • Project Star 2010 Results
  • Project Star 2011 Results
  • Project Star 2012 Results
  • Project Sun. A Study of the Illicit Cigarette Market in the European Union 2013 Results
  • Project Sun 2016 results: Illicit cigarette market
  • Raising Cigarette Prices Decreases Consumption WIthout Increase in Smuggling: A Study from Iran
  • Taxation, Smuggling, and Demand for Cigarettes in Canada: Evidence from Time-Series Data
  • Taxation Trends in the European Union
  • The Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products in Poland
  • Tobacco Product Illicit Trade Phenomena: National Study for Imperial Tobacco Canada
  • Tobacco Tax and the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products in New Zealand
  • Towards a Greater Understanding of the Illicit Tobacco Trade in Europe: A Review of the PMI Funded 'Project Star' Report
  • Tracking and tracing tobacco products in Kenya

Crime

  • A Resource-Constrained Optimal Control Model for Crackdown on Illicit Drug Markets
  • Are Suppression and Deterrence Mechanisms Enough? Examining the ‘Pulling Levers’ Drug Market Intervention Strategy in Peoria, Illinois, USA
  • An Evaluation of the Nashville Drug Market Initiative (DMI) Pulling Levers Strategy
  • Cigarette Trafficking Spawning Other Crimes and Possibly Violence
  • Deterrence and Public Policy: Trade-Offs in the Allocation of Police Resources
  • EU Organised Crime Threat Assessment
  • Illicit Markets and Violence: What Is the Relationship?
  • Illicit Trade: Converging Criminal Networks
  • Multiple Equilibria in an Optimal Control Model for Law Enforcement
  • Retail Price as an Outcome Measure for the Effectiveness of Drug Law Enforcement
  • The Drug War and the Homicide Rate: A Direct Correlation?
  • The Effects of Focused Deterrence Strategies on Crime
  • The Global Illicit Trade in Tobacco: A Threat to National Security
  • The Impact Of Drug Enforcement On Crime: An Investigation Of The Opportunity Cost Of Police Resources
  • The Nexus of Organized Crime and Terrorism: Two Case Studies in Cigarette Smuggling
  • Violence in Illicit Markets: Unintended Consequences and the Search for Paradoxical Effects of Enforcement
  • When Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishment

Health Impacts

  • Directions in the Economics of Smoking
  • Electronic Cigarettes as a Harm Reduction Strategy for Tobacco Control: A Step Forward or a Repeat of Past Mistakes?
  • Exclusive: U.S. to Roll Back 'lost pleasure' Approach on Health Rules
  • Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act of 2009
  • Finished with Menthol: An Evidence-Based Policy Option That Will Save Lives
  • Have Efforts to Reduce Smoking Really Contributed to the Obesity Epidemic?
  • How Can Cigarette Smuggling Be Reduced?
  • How Eliminating the Global Illicit Cigarette Trade Would Increase Tax Revenue and Save Lives
  • Maximizing the Public Health Impact of Alcohol and Tobacco Taxes
  • Menthol Cigarettes and Smoking Cessation Behavior: A Review of Tobacco Industry Documents
  • Peering Through the Mist: Systematic Review of What the Chemistry of Contaminants in Electronic Cigarettes Tells us About Health Risks
  • Safety Evaluation and Risk Assessment of Electronic Cigarettes as Tobacco Cigarette Substitutes: A Systematic Review
  • The Impact of Eliminating the Global Illicit Cigarette Trade on Health and Revenue

In the News

  • After Mass. raised its cigarette tax, smuggling exploded, study finds
  • Big Tobacco warns plain-packaging will increase contraband problem as Senate studies anti-smoking bill
  • Closed-Door Forum on Tobacco Control Held in Ottawa Starts Today, Key Stakeholders Groups Shut Out of Conversation
  • Contraband cigarettes among Utah smokers' favorite brands
  • Economist: The unintended consequences of hiking Oklahoma’s cigarette tax
  • Counterfeit tobacco and cigarettes sold on Facebook
  • EU-Belarus co-operation: Can it help in fighting illicit trade?
  • Exclusive: Illegal cigarettes are big business in New York City
  • FICCI calls on India's govt to label illicit trade a national threat
  • Is the $2-per-pack state cigarette tax reducing the number of smokers?
  • Nearly one-third of cigarettes sold in Ontario contraband, study suggests
  • Smoking scam ... consumers turn to counterfeit cigarettes after tax hike
  • Smuggler who stashed £12,000 in kitchen bin jailed after being caught with 40,000 illicit cigarettes
  • Trafficking network purchased 600,000 cartons of Virginia cigarettes for black market resale, Henrico police say
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